We’ve seen in the past that NZ has very high estimated numbers of homeless people by international standards, and that this is at least in part because we have a very broad definition of “homeless”.

Here are the predictions for Round 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

So far there have been 143 matches played, 97 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.8%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games ...

Here are the predictions for the Super Rugby Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the ...

Here are the predictions for Round 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...

Here are the predictions for Week 14. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...

Here are the predictions for the Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...

I do also want to emphasize that no-one expert thinks this is a proposal to stop collecting data for the government. Administrative data already marks when you are born or die, when you enter or leave ...