We’ve seen in the past that NZ has very high estimated numbers of homeless people by international standards, and that this is at least in part because we have a very broad definition of “homeless”.

Here are the predictions for Round 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

So far there have been 143 matches played, 97 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.8%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games ...

Here are the predictions for the Super Rugby Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the ...

Here are the predictions for Round 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...

Team Ratings for Round 17 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Here are the predictions for Week 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...